DIMACS Workshop on Mathematical Modeling of Infectious Diseases in Africa

June 25 - 27, 2007
Stellenbosch, South Africa

Organizers:
Brenda Latka, (Program Chair), DIMACS, latka@dimacs.rutgers.edu
Wayne Getz, UC Berkeley, getz@nature.berkeley.edu
Abba Gumel, University of Manitoba, gumelab@cc.umanitoba.ca
Fritz Hahne, AIMS, fjwh@aims.ac.za
John Hargrove, SACEMA, jhargrove@sun.ac.za
Simon Levin, Princeton University, slevin@eno.princeton.edu
Edward Lungu, University of Botswana, lunguem@mopipi.ub.bw
Fred Roberts, DIMACS, froberts@dimacs.rutgers.edu
Alex Welte, Wits University, awelte@cam.wits.ac.za
Presented under the auspices of the Special Focus on Computational and Mathematical Epidemiology.

This workshop is jointly organized with African Institute for Mathematical Sciences (AIMS), and
South African Centre for Epidemiological Modelling and Analysis (SACEMA).

This workshop is jointly sponsored by:


Workshop Program:

Monday, June 25, 2007

 9:00 -  9:15  Opening Remarks
               John Hargrove, SACEMA Director and Fred Roberts, DIMACS Director

Session I Evaluating the Potential Consequences of  
Emerging and Re-emerging Diseases

 9:15 -  9:45  Emerging and Reemerging Problems in the Mathematics of Disease
               Simon Levin, Princeton University
 
 9:45 -  9:55  Question & Answer
             
 9:55 - 10:25  Thoughts on Simplifying the Estimation of HIV Incidence
               John Hargrove, SACEMA

10:25 - 10:35  Question & Answer

10:35 - 10:50  Break and discussion period

10:50 - 11:20  Using Mathematics to Understand the Transmission Dynamics of 
               HIV/AIDS and Control
               Abba Gumel, University of Manitoba

11:20 - 11:30  Question & Answer

11:30 - 12:00  Disease Emergence in Immunocompromised Populations
               James Lloyd-Smith, Penn State

12:00 - 12:10  Question & Answer

12:10 -  1:30  Lunch

 1:30 -  2:00  Incidence from Prevalence - Theory and Practise
               Alex Welte, Wits University

 2:00 -  2:10  Question & Answer

 2:10 -  2:40  Epidemic Attractors in Periodic Environments
               Abdul-Aziz Yakubu, Howard University

 2:40 -  2:50  Question & Answer

 2:50 -  3:05  Break and discussion period

 3:05 -  3:35  Some Probabilistic Results on the Nonrandomness of Simple 
               Sequence Repeats in DNA Sequences
               Asamoah Nkwanta, Morgan State University

 3:35 -  3:45  Question & Answer

 3:45 -  4:15  Meaningless Statements in Epidemiology
               Fred S. Roberts, DIMACS

 4:15 -  4:25  Question & Answer

               Evening excursion

Tuesday, June 26, 2007

 9:00 -  9:15  Announcements

Session II The Design and Evaluation of Cost-effective  
and Sustainable Strategies for Combating Disease Spread in Africa

 9:15 -  9:45  A Model for HIV Treatment in the Presence of HIV-Strains
               Edward Lungu, University of Botswana

 9:45 -  9:55  Question & Answer

 9:55 - 10:25  Intervention Impacts in Joined-Up HIV and TB Epidemics
               Dominic P. Clemence, North Carolina A&T University

10:25 - 10:35  Question & Answer
  
10:35 - 10:50  Break and discussion period

10:50 - 11:20  The Mathematical Model of HIV/AIDS Transmission: 
               Impact of Antiretroviral Therapy
               Moatlhodi Kgosimore, Botswana College of Agriculture

11:20 - 11:30  Question & Answer

11:30 - 12:00  Seasonality, Stochasticity and the Dynamics of Measles in the Sahel
               Matt Ferrari, Penn State

12:00 - 12:10  Question & Answer

12:10 -  1:30  Lunch

 1:30 -  2:00  Evaluation of Targeted Influenza Vaccination Strategies via Population Modeling
               John Glasser, CDC/CCID/NCIRD

 2:00 -  2:10  Question & Answer

 2:10 -  2:40  Optimal Control of a Discrete Time Disease Model on a Spatial Grid
               Suzanne Lenhart, University of Tennessee

 2:40 -  2:50  Question & Answer

 2:50 -  3:05  Break and discussion period

 2:50 -  3:20  The Impact of Local Perspectives on the Challenges 
               Posed by Global Health Issues
               Carlos Castillo-Chavez, Arizona State University

 3:20 -  3:30  Question & Answer

 3:45 -  5:05  Poster Session

 Evening:      Banquet

Wednesday, June 27, 2007

 9:00 -  9:15  Announcements

Session III Economic and Policy Aspects of Disease Epidemiology

 9:15 -  9:45  Making Models Useful for Policy Makers
               Martin I. Meltzer, CDC

 9:45 -  9:55  Question & Answer

 9:55 - 10:25  Economic Aspects of Disease Epidemiology
               Ramanan Laxminarayan, Resources for the Future

10:25 - 10:35  Question & Answer

10:35 - 10:50  Group photo

10:50 - 11:00  Break and discussion period

11:00 - 11:30  Modeling the Epidemiological and Economic Impact of
               HIV/AIDS with Special Reference to Zimbabwe
               S. D. Hove-Musekwa,  National University of Science & Technology

11:30 - 11:40  Question & Answer

11:40 - 12:10  Does Securing Infrastructure Against Workforce-Depletion 
               Depend on Whether the Risk is Environmental or Infectious?
               Nina Fefferman, DIMACS

12:10 - 12:20  Question & Answer

12:20 -  1:30  Lunch

 1:30 -  2:00  New Strategies for Promoting Biomathematics in Africa
               Wandera Ogana, University of Nairobi

 2:00 -  2:10  Question & Answer

 2:10 -  2:45  Panel: Next Steps


Previous: Participation
Workshop Index
DIMACS Homepage
Contacting the Center
Document last modified on June 6, 2007.