Stellenbosch, South Africa

**Brenda Latka**, (Program Chair), DIMACS, latka@dimacs.rutgers.edu**Wayne Getz**, UC Berkeley, getz@nature.berkeley.edu**Abba Gumel**, University of Manitoba, gumelab@cc.umanitoba.ca**Fritz Hahne**, AIMS, fjwh@aims.ac.za**John Hargrove**, SACEMA, jhargrove@sun.ac.za**Simon Levin**, Princeton University, slevin@eno.princeton.edu**Edward Lungu**, University of Botswana, lunguem@mopipi.ub.bw**Fred Roberts**, DIMACS, froberts@dimacs.rutgers.edu**Alex Welte**, Wits University, awelte@cam.wits.ac.za

This workshop is jointly organized with African Institute for Mathematical Sciences (AIMS), and

South African Centre for
Epidemiological Modelling and Analysis (SACEMA).

This workshop is jointly sponsored by:

- African Institute for Mathematical Sciences (AIMS)
- DIMACS
- US National Science Foundation
- South African Centre for Epidemiological Modelling and Analysis (SACEMA)

Monday, June 25, 20079:00 - 9:15 Opening Remarks John Hargrove, SACEMA Director and Fred Roberts, DIMACS Director Session I Evaluating the Potential Consequences of Emerging and Re-emerging Diseases 9:15 - 9:45 Emerging and Reemerging Problems in the Mathematics of Disease Simon Levin, Princeton University 9:45 - 9:55 Question & Answer 9:55 - 10:25 Thoughts on Simplifying the Estimation of HIV Incidence John Hargrove, SACEMA 10:25 - 10:35 Question & Answer 10:35 - 10:50 Break and discussion period 10:50 - 11:20 Using Mathematics to Understand the Transmission Dynamics of HIV/AIDS and Control Abba Gumel, University of Manitoba 11:20 - 11:30 Question & Answer 11:30 - 12:00 Disease Emergence in Immunocompromised Populations James Lloyd-Smith, Penn State 12:00 - 12:10 Question & Answer 12:10 - 1:30 Lunch 1:30 - 2:00 Incidence from Prevalence - Theory and Practise Alex Welte, Wits University 2:00 - 2:10 Question & Answer 2:10 - 2:40 Epidemic Attractors in Periodic Environments Abdul-Aziz Yakubu, Howard University 2:40 - 2:50 Question & Answer 2:50 - 3:05 Break and discussion period 3:05 - 3:35 Some Probabilistic Results on the Nonrandomness of Simple Sequence Repeats in DNA Sequences Asamoah Nkwanta, Morgan State University 3:35 - 3:45 Question & Answer 3:45 - 4:15 Meaningless Statements in Epidemiology Fred S. Roberts, DIMACS 4:15 - 4:25 Question & Answer Evening excursionTuesday, June 26, 20079:00 - 9:15 Announcements Session II The Design and Evaluation of Cost-effective and Sustainable Strategies for Combating Disease Spread in Africa 9:15 - 9:45 A Model for HIV Treatment in the Presence of HIV-Strains Edward Lungu, University of Botswana 9:45 - 9:55 Question & Answer 9:55 - 10:25 Intervention Impacts in Joined-Up HIV and TB Epidemics Dominic P. Clemence, North Carolina A&T University 10:25 - 10:35 Question & Answer 10:35 - 10:50 Break and discussion period 10:50 - 11:20 The Mathematical Model of HIV/AIDS Transmission: Impact of Antiretroviral Therapy Moatlhodi Kgosimore, Botswana College of Agriculture 11:20 - 11:30 Question & Answer 11:30 - 12:00 Seasonality, Stochasticity and the Dynamics of Measles in the Sahel Matt Ferrari, Penn State 12:00 - 12:10 Question & Answer 12:10 - 1:30 Lunch 1:30 - 2:00 Evaluation of Targeted Influenza Vaccination Strategies via Population Modeling John Glasser, CDC/CCID/NCIRD 2:00 - 2:10 Question & Answer 2:10 - 2:40 Optimal Control of a Discrete Time Disease Model on a Spatial Grid Suzanne Lenhart, University of Tennessee 2:40 - 2:50 Question & Answer 2:50 - 3:05 Break and discussion period 2:50 - 3:20 The Impact of Local Perspectives on the Challenges Posed by Global Health Issues Carlos Castillo-Chavez, Arizona State University 3:20 - 3:30 Question & Answer 3:45 - 5:05 Poster Session Evening: BanquetWednesday, June 27, 20079:00 - 9:15 Announcements Session III Economic and Policy Aspects of Disease Epidemiology 9:15 - 9:45 Making Models Useful for Policy Makers Martin I. Meltzer, CDC 9:45 - 9:55 Question & Answer 9:55 - 10:25 Economic Aspects of Disease Epidemiology Ramanan Laxminarayan, Resources for the Future 10:25 - 10:35 Question & Answer 10:35 - 10:50 Group photo 10:50 - 11:00 Break and discussion period 11:00 - 11:30 Modeling the Epidemiological and Economic Impact of HIV/AIDS with Special Reference to Zimbabwe S. D. Hove-Musekwa, National University of Science & Technology 11:30 - 11:40 Question & Answer 11:40 - 12:10 Does Securing Infrastructure Against Workforce-Depletion Depend on Whether the Risk is Environmental or Infectious? Nina Fefferman, DIMACS 12:10 - 12:20 Question & Answer 12:20 - 1:30 Lunch 1:30 - 2:00 New Strategies for Promoting Biomathematics in Africa Wandera Ogana, University of Nairobi 2:00 - 2:10 Question & Answer 2:10 - 2:45 Panel: Next Steps

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Document last modified on June 6, 2007.