US-Africa Advanced Study Institute on Mathematical Modeling of Infectious Diseases in Africa

June 30 - July 11, 2008
AIMS, Muizenberg, South Africa

Organizers:
Wayne Getz, UC Berkeley, getz@nature.berkeley.edu
Abba Gumel, University of Manitoba, gumelab@cc.umanitoba.ca
Fritz Hahne, AIMS, fjwh@aims.ac.za
John Hargrove, SACEMA, jhargrove@sun.ac.za
Simon Levin, Princeton University, slevin@eno.princeton.edu
Edward Lungu, University of Botswana, lunguem@mopipi.ub.bw
Fred Roberts, DIMACS, froberts@dimacs.rutgers.edu
Alex Welte, Wits University, awelte@cam.wits.ac.za
Presented under the auspices of the DIMACS Special Focus on Computational and Mathematical Epidemiology.

This Advanced Study Institute is jointly organized with African Institute for Mathematical Sciences (AIMS), and
South African Centre for Epidemiological Modelling and Analysis (SACEMA).

This Advanced Study Institute is jointly sponsored by:


Workshop Program:


Monday, June 30, 2008 

(Instructors present: TP, JP, JD, EL; JH with ACS program) 

 8:30 -  9:00 Registration and welcome 

 9:00 -  9:30 Introductions and description of 2-week plan -- JD

 9:30 - 11:00 EL -- HIV modeling and links to data 

11:00 - 11:20 Coffee break 

11:20 - 12:45 JP/JD -- Statistical philosophy 

12:45 -  1:30 Lunch 

 1:30 -  3:00 Independent work (presentation preparation) 

 3:00 -  3:20 Tea 

 3:20 -  5:00 Presentations by mosquito group (Alex); HIV risk group (Zindoga); Chikungunya group (Steve) 

 5:00 -  6:00 Socialize and walk 

 6:00 -  7:00 Dinner 

 7:00 -  9:00 Group work, JD assisting 

Tuesday, July 1, 2008 

 9:00 - 10:30 Parameter estimation in a model of trachoma control -- TP 

10:30 - 11:00 Discussion of research problems and how to organize research groups. 

11:00 - 11:20 Coffee break 

11:45 - 12:45 Student talks: Tryps (Holly, Sourya); new work on Chikungunya (Steve) 

12:45 -  1:30 Lunch 

 1:45 -  3:00 Simulation techniques -- TP 

 3:00 -  3:20 Tea break 

 3:30 -  4:00 Student talk: HIV drug resistance (Devroy, Clement) 

 4:00 -  5:30 Form new research groups; start background research 

 6:00 -  7:30 Dinner 

 7:30 -  9:00 Group and R work, JP and EL assisting 

Wednesday, July 2, 2008 

 9:00 - 11:00 Introduction to computing tools for mathematical biology (TP, JP, JD) 
              - With ACS students 

11:00 - 11:20 Coffee break 

11:20 - 12:45 Continuation of above... 

12:45 -  1:30 Lunch 

 1:30 -  3:30 JP and JD present research talks to combined groups 

 3:30 -  3:50 Tea 

 3:50 -  5:30 Research groups 

 6:00 -  7:00 Dinner 

 7:00         Drumming for all students (with ACS) 


Thursday, July 3, 2008 

 9:00 - 10:00 Introduction to HIV in a local township 
              Dr Keren Middelkoop, Desmond Tutu HIV Centre 

10:00 - 11:00 Mathematical analysis of HIV in a local township 
              Dr Rachid Ouifki and Mr Carel Pretorius, SACEMA 

11:00 - 11:15 Coffee break 

11:15 - 12:00 Continuation: Mathematical analysis of HIV in a local township 
              Dr Rachid Ouifki and Mr Carel Pretorius, SACEMA 

12:15 -  2:00 Leave for lunch at Brass Bell 

 2:00 -  3:30 Full group meeting 

 3:30 -  4:00 Tea 

 4:00 -  4:30 Student talk (Optimal control of malaria: Theresia) 

 4:30 -  5:30 Research groups 

 6:00 -  7:00 Dinner 

 7:00 -  9:00 Research groups, TP and JD assisting 

Friday, July 4, 2008 

 9:00 - 10:00 Morning reading seminar by JD: Hampson et al. 

10:00 - 11:10 Research groups 

11:10 - 11:30 Coffee break 

11:30 - 12:30 Research groups 

12:30 -  1:15 Lunch 

 1:15 -  2:30 Full group meeting. Presentation of research questions. Informal lecture by JD (final size formulations). 

 2:30 -  2:50 Tea break 

 2:50 -  6:00 Research groups; all-instructor meetings with groups 

 6:00 -  7:30 Dinner 

 7:30 -  9:00 Research groups, EL and JP assisting 

Saturday, July 5, 2008 

 (Instructor notes: JH leaves.) 

 9:00 - 11:00 Ddembe Williams and TP present research talks to combined groups 

11:00 - 11:30 Coffee break 

11:30 -  1:00 All-instructor meetings with groups 

 1:00 -  2:00 Lunch 

 2:00 -  5:00 Research groups (assisted by EL) or trip to township 


Sunday, July 6, 2008 
         
              Free day - Trip to Cape Town 


Monday, July 7, 2008

 (Instructor notes: JD leaves; WG arrives.) 

 9:00 - 10:00 Morning reading seminar by EL: Iwama et al. 

10:00 - 11:00 Research groups 

11:00 - 11:20 Tea break 

11:20 -  1:00 Research groups 

 1:00 -  1:30 Lunch 

 1:45 -  2:30 Full group meeting: presentation of target figures/tables; 
              informal lecture by JP (how to read a scientific paper). 

 2:30 -  5:30 Research groups; all-instructor office hours from 4:00 to 5:00pm 
              (sign up on board in downstairs computer lab). 

 6:00 -  6:30 Dinner 

 7:30 -  9:00 Research groups, EL and JP assisting 


Tuesday, July 8, 2008

 9:00 - 10:00 Morning reading seminar by JP: Riley et al. 

10:00 - 11:00 Research groups 

11:00 - 11:20 Tea break 

11:20 -  1:00 Research groups 

 1:00 -  1:30 Lunch 

 1:45 -  2:30 Full group meeting: Report on group member roles and appointment of a producer; 
              informal lecture by WG (preparing and submitting scientific papers) 

 2:30 -  5:30 Research groups; all-instructor office hours from 4:00 to 5:00pm 
              (sign up on board in downstairs computer lab). 

 6:00 -  6:30 Dinner 

 7:30 -  9:00 Research groups, JP and EL assisting 

Wednesday, July 9, 2008

 9:00 - 10:00 Morning reading seminar by TP: Porco et al. 

10:00 - 11:00 Research groups 

11:00 - 11:20 Tea break 

11:20 -  1:00 Research groups 

 1:00 -  1:30 Lunch 

 2:00 -  5:30 Trip to Masiphumelele/Desmond Tutu Center 

 6:00 -  7:30 Dinner 

 7:30 -  9:00 Research groups, WG and TP assisting 


Thursday, July 10, 2008

 9:00 - 10:00 Morning reading seminar -- by WG: Roberts 

10:00 - 11:00 Research groups 

11:00 - 11:20 Tea break 

11:20 -  1:00 Research groups 

 1:00 -  1:30 Lunch 

 1:45 -  2:30 Full group meeting 

 2:30 -  5:30 Research groups; all-instructor office hours from 16h00 to 17h00 (sign up on board in downstairs computer lab). 

 6:00 - 6:30 Dinner 

 7:30 - 9:00 Research groups, TP and WG assisting 


Friday,  July 11, 2008 
              
(Instructor notes: TP leaves.) 

              Presentations by students on their projects. 

              Discussion of follow-ups: finishing research projects, writing them up, presenting them at meetings, etc. 




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Document last modified on January 21, 2009.