DIMACS/DyDAn Workshop on Climate and Disease

April 7 - 8, 2008
DIMACS/DyDAn Center, CoRE Building, Rutgers University

Organizers:
Benjamin A. Cash, Center for Ocean-Land-Atmosphere Studies, bcash at cola.iges.org
Andrew Dobson, Princeton University, dobber at princeton.edu
Jim Kinter, Center for Ocean-Land-Atmosphere Studies, kinter at cola.iges.org
Mercedes Pascual, University of Michigan, pascual at umich.edu
Presented under the auspices of the Special Focus on Computational and Mathematical Epidemiology and the Center for Dynamic Data Analysis (DyDAn).

Workshop Program:

This is a preliminary program.

Monday, April 7, 2008

 8:00 -  8:50  Breakfast and Registration

 8:50 -  9:00  Welcome and Opening Remarks
               Fred Roberts, DIMACS Director

 9:00 -  9:40  Introduction: Mercedes Pascual 

Prediction 1: Early-warning Systems and Climate Variability 
 
 9:45 - 10:25  Climate Information for Public Health Decision Making
               Madeleine Thomson and Stephen Connor, IRI 

10:25 - 10:45  Break

10:45 - 11:25  Climate and Health: Prediction from Seasonal to Climate Change Time-scales
               Simon Mason, IRI 

11:30 - 12:10  Predictability of Climate Indices Related to Infectious Diseases 
               Timothy DelSole, George Mason University 
 
12:10 -  1:30  Lunch

Prediction 2: Scenarios and Climate Change 

 1:30 -  2:10  Here and here; now and then. How we incorporate 
               Space and Time into epidemiological understanding
               David Rogers, Oxford University 

 2:15 -  2:40  Risk Maps for Lyme Disease Emergence in Canada: Vector Biology, 
               Climate Change and Public Health
               Nicholas Ogden, University of Montreal

 2:40 -  3:00  Break

 3:00 -  3:40  Spatial and Temporal Patterns of Malaria in Africa at 
               Landscape and Continental Scales
               Christopher Thomas, Aberystwyth University 

 3:45 -  4:25  Using Scenarios to Plan Climate Uncertainty
               Holly Hartmann, University of Arizona 

 4:30 -  5:00  Discussion

 5:00 -  6:00  Wine and Cheese Reception


Tuesday, April 8, 2008

 8:30 -  9:00  Breakfast and Registration

Challenges 1: Relevant Scales of Coupling 
 
 9:00 -  9:40  Forecasting Parasitic Disease in Domestic Animals: 
               an Historical Perspective
               Gary Smith, University of Pennsylvania

 9:45 - 10:25  Inferring Local Climate from General Circulation Model's Projections. 
               An Overview of Statistical Downscaling Approaches
               Claudia Tebaldi, NCAR 

10:25 - 10:45  Break

10:45 - 11:15  Influence of Climate on the Ecology and Evolution of 
               Host-pathogen and Vector-parasite Interactions
               Matthew Thomas, Penn State University

11:20 - 11:50  Identifying and Isolating Influences on Regional Climate: 
               Implications for Disease Prediction
               Benjamin Cash, Center for Ocean-Land-Atmosphere Studies  

11:50 -  1:00  Lunch

Challenges 2: Do Disease Dynamics Matter? 
 
 1:00 -  1:40  Seasonality and the Factors that Lead to Multi-annual 
               Cycles through Resonance in a Model of Malaria
               Mike Boots, The University of Sheffield

 1:45 -  2:25  Seasonality, Climate Change and the Dynamics of Infectious 
               Diseases of Wildlife
               Giulio DeLeo, Universita degli Studi di Parma

 2:25 -  2:45  Break

 2:45 -  3:15  Hydrologic Monitoring and Modelling of Mosquito-Borne
               Disease Transmission
               Jeffrey Shaman, Oregon State University

 3:20 -  3:50  Climate Change and Disease: the Need for Covariates 
               and Two-tailed Predictions
               Kevin Lafferty, USGS and UC Santa Barbara

 4:00 -  5:00  Discussion


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Document last modified on April 3, 2008.