Co-sponsored by DIMACS and the Alfred P. Sloan Foundation.
Longer invited talks are 45 minutes + 5 for questions/discussion Shorter ones are 30 minutes + 5 for questions/discussion Friday, June 28 8:00-9:00 Registration and Breakfast 9:00-9:10 Greetings (Conference co-Chairs) Simon Levin Princeton University Fred Roberts Director, DIMACS, Rutgers University Morning Chair: Fred Roberts Director, DIMACS, Rutgers University BIOTERRORISM I: 9:10-10:00 Edward Kaplan Yale University Modeling Bioterror Response Logistics: The Case of Smallpox (Joint presentation with David Craft and Larry Wein) 10:00-10:15 Welcome and Greetings Francis Lawrence President of Rutgers University KEYNOTE I: 10:15-10:20 Introduction of Keynote Speaker Simon Levin Princeton University, Conference co-Chair 10:20-11:00 Nancy Cox Chief, Influenza Branch Centers for Disease Control Evolution, Adaptation and Spread of Influenza Viruses: What Have We Learned? 11:00-11:20 Break BIOTERRORISM II: 11:20-11:55 Donald Burke (with Joshua Epstein) Johns Hopkins University The Demos in Epidemiology: Individual-based Epidemic Models 11:55-12:30 Farzad Mostashari NYC Department of Health Towards a Theoretical (and Practical) Framework for Prodromic Surveillance 12:30-2:00 Lunch and Discussion Afternoon Chair: Pauline van den Driessche University of Victoria VACCINATION STRATEGIES: 2:00-2:50 Herbert Hethcote University of Iowa New Vaccination Strategies for Pertussis FLU: 2:50-3:40 Alan Perelson Los Alamos Modeling Influenza Infection and Vaccination 3:40-4:00 Break THE ROLE OF MATHEMATICAL MODELING IN EPIDEMIOLOGY: 4:00-4:50 Denis Mollison Heriot-Watt Small Worlds and Giant Epidemics 4:50-5:25 John Glasser CDC En Route to Reliable Policymaking Tools: Mathematical Models as Hypotheses (Joint work with C.E. Le Baron, R.L. Berkelman and B. Schwartz) COMPUTATIONAL AND MATHEMATICAL EPIDEMIOLOGY OVERVIEW I: 5:25-6:00 Fred S. Roberts DIMACS, Rutgers University Computational and Mathematical Epidemiology: Challenges 6:00-7:15 Wine and Cheese Reception Poster Session Carlos Acevedo-Estefania University of Texas A Mathematical Model for Lung Cancer: The Effects of Second-Hand Smoke and Education Julian Arino and Pauline van den Driessche University of Victoria A Multicity Epidemic Model Caroline Bampfylde Oxford University Explaining Rain Forest Diversity: The Role of Competition Chris Bauch and David J.D. Earn McMaster University Noisy Determinism in Childhood Diseases Chris T. Bauch and Alison P. Galvani McMaster University Relating Lattice Models to Field Data via Point-Process Models Alok Chaturvedi Purdue University Measured Response Ray Gani and Steve Leach The Centre for Applied Microbiology & Research (CAMR) The Transmissibility of Pneumonic Plague Maia Martcheva Polytechnic University Diseases with Chronic Stage in a Population with Varying Size Diana Thomas Montclair State University A Model Describing the Evolution of West Nile-like Encephalitis in New York City Tom Webster Boston University School of Public Health Magnification of Bias in Ecologic Epidemiology 7:15-8:30 Conference Dinner at DIMACS Saturday, June 29 8:00-9:00 Registration and Breakfast Morning Chair: Carlos Castillo-Chavez Cornell University BIOTERRORISM III: 9:00-9:50 Marcello Pagano Harvard University The Use of Interpoint Distances in Biosurveillance Data 9:50-10:25 Martin I. Meltzer CDC The Economics of Planning and Preparing for Bioterrorist Events and the Next Influenza Pandemic 10:25-10:45 Break 10:45-11:20 David Banks FDA Game Theory and Risk Analysis in Counterterrorism KEYNOTE II: 11:20-11:25 Introduction of Keynote Speaker Simon Levin Princeton University, Conference co-Chair 11:25-11:55 Rita Colwell Director, National Science Foundation 11:55-12:05 Questions and Discussion 12:05-1:20 Lunch and Discussion Afternoon Chair: Donald Hoover Rutgers University MODELING DISEASES OF ANIMALS AND PLANTS: 1:20-2:10 Christl Donnelly Imperial College FMD 2001: Using Statistics and Mathematics for Outbreak Control and Eradication 2:10-2:45 Chris Gilligan University of Cambridge Variability, Invasion and Persistence of Crop Disease in the Landscape 2:45-3:05 Break DISCRETE MATH/THEORETICAL COMPUTER SCIENCE: 3:05-3:55 Mike Steel University of Canterbury, New Zealand Phylogenetics and its Role in Epidemiology 3:55-4:45 Ding-zu Du University of Minnesota Group Testing in Medical Examination MODELING OF DISEASE SPREAD/CONTROL I 4:45-5:20 Carlos Castillo-Chavez Cornell University Models for the Transmission of Cultural Traits and Their Impact on Cultural Norms: The Case of Terrorists Sunday, June 30 Outings Monday, July 1 8:00-9:00 Registration and Breakfast Morning Chair: Herbert Hethcote University of Iowa MODELING OF DISEASE SPREAD/CONTROL II: 9:00-9:50 Burton Singer Princeton University Adaptive Design of Urban Malaria Control Programs: A Case Study of Dar es Salaam, Tanzania 9:50-10:25 Ellis McKenzie NIH Strategic Concerns in Malaria Control 10:25-10:45 Break 10:45-11:20 Lora Billings Montclair State University Chaotic Epidemic Outbreaks: Deterministic or Random? 11:20-12:10 Valerie Isham University College, London The Effects of Spatial Scale and Spatial Clumping in the Infection Process on the Spread of Macroparasites 12:10-2:00 Lunch and discussion COMPUTATIONAL AND MATHEMATICAL EPIDEMIOLOGY OVERVIEW II: 2:00-3:15 Panel on Challenges for Computational and Mathematical Epidemiology Moderator: Simon Levin, Princeton University Panelists: Herbert Hethcote, University of Iowa Dennis Mollison, Herriot-Watt University David Ozonoff, Boston University Fred Roberts, DIMACS - Rutgers University Valerie Isham, University College London 3:15-3:35 BREAK Afternoon Chair: To be determined EPIDEMIOLOGY/STATISTICS I: 3:35-4:10 David Ozonoff Boston University Mathematics and Epidemiology: Friends but not Intimate 4:10-4:45 Daniel Wartenberg UMDNJ-Robert Wood Johnson Medical School Understanding Disease Clusters 4:45-5:20 Donald Hoover Rutgers University Medical Expenditures During the Last Year of Life: Findings from the 1992-96 Medicare Current Beneficiary Survey 5:30-6:45 Reception at DIMACS Tuesday, July 2 8:00-9:00 Registration and Breakfast Morning Chair: David Ozonoff Boston University EPIDEMIOLOGY/STATISTICS II: 9:00-9:50 James Robins Harvard University Optimal-Regime Estimation 9:50-10:25 Harry Guess Merck Research Data Privacy and Epidemiological Research 10:25-10:45 Break 10:45-11:20 David Madigan Rutgers University Text Categorization in the Health Sciences: A Review and Some New Results (joint work with David D. Lewis) EVOLUTION I: Chair: John Glasser, CDC 11:20-12:10 Jonathan Dushoff (Princeton), Simon Levin (Princeton), and Joshua Plotkin (Institute for Advanced Study) Aspects of the Ecology and Evolution of Influenza A 12:10-1:45 Lunch and discussion EVOLUTION II: Chair: John Glasser, CDC 1:45-2:35 Marc Lipsitch Harvard University Epidemiology of Antimicrobial Resistance: Models, Data, and Questions 2:35-3:10 Freddy Christiansen University of Aarhus, Denmark Possible Mechanisms in the Evolution of Influenza A
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