The working group meeting has been cut down in scope and is planned to
involve rather informal
presentations with lots of time for
discussion. A tentative list of speakers follows, with topics to be
added as they announce them. We will devote some time to discussion of
follow-up activities, including
a larger meeting to be held in
approximately a year. Those interested in participating or in
nominating
their students or postdocs to participate should contact
Alun Lloyd at alun@alunlloyd.com. Limited financial
support may be
available to help those (particularly junior researchers or students)
who could not other participate.
This is a rough draft subject to change:
Tuesday, April 22, 2003
9:00 - 10:00 Breakfast and Registration
10:00 - 10:10 Opening: Fred Roberts
10:10 - 10:35 Alun Lloyd: Spatial Epidemiology: Workshop Themes
10:35 - 11:10 Simon Levin: From Individuals to Populations Introduction
11:10 - 11:55 How the structure of contact networks affects disease propagation
Mark Newman, Center for the Study of Complex Systems, University of Michigan
11:55 - 12:05 Short Break
12:05 - 1:00 Modeling Disease Outbreak and Interventions on a Realistic Social Network
Stephen Eubank, Los Alamos National Lab
1:00 - 2:00 Lunch
2:00 - 2:55 Pair formation, disease-induced changes in behaviour, and
frequency-dependent transmission in sexually-transmitted disease models
James Lloyd-Smith, Biophysics, University of California at Berkeley
2:55 - 3:50 Correlation equations for spatial epidemics:
dynamics and estimation
Ben Bolker, Zoology Department, University of Florida
3:50 - 4:20 Break
4:20 - 5:15 The effects of spatial scale and spatial clumping in the
infection process on the spread of macroparasites
Valerie Isham, University College, London
5:15 - 6:00 Discussion
6:00PM Dinner
Wednesday, April 23, 2003 Case Studies
8:45 - 9:30 Breakfast and Registration
9:30 - 10:25 Local Heterogeneity and Alternative Control Strategies
for Foot-and-Mouth Disease
Rowland Kao
10:25 - 11:20 The construction and analysis of epidemic trees with
reference to the 2001 UK foot-and-mouth outbreak
Dan Haydon, Department of Zoology, University of Guelph,
Guelph, Ontario, Canada
11:20 - 11:40 Break
11:40 - 12:30 TBA
David Smith
12:30 - 1:00 Discussion
1:00 - 2:00 Lunch
2:00 - 2:55 The antigenic and genetic evolution of Influenza A viruses
Joshua Plotkin
2:55 - 3:20 Stochastic models of influenza evolution and epidemiology
Jonathan Dushoff, Princeton University
3:20 - 4:10 Patterns of synchrony in influenza epidemics
at the national and regional scale: 1968-1998.
Cecile Viboud, Antoine Flahault and Mark Miller
Fogarty International Center, National Institutes of Health, Bethesda, MD
4:10 - 4:25 Break
4:25 - 5:20 Modeling the process of contact between subgroups in spatial epidemics
Lisa Sattenspiel, University of Missouri-Columbia
5:20 Discussion
8:00PM Dinner at hotel
Thursday, April 24, 2003 Stochastic Modeling and Statistical Issues
8:45 - 9:30 Breakfast and Registration
9:30 - 10:25 Stochastic modelling and statistical inference for multitype
SIR epidemics among a population of households
Frank Ball, University of Nottingham
10:25 - 11:20 Modelling and Bayesian inference for structured-population epidemics
Philip O'Neil, University of Nottingham, England
11:20 Break
Afternoon: Excursion to NYC, bag luch provided
Friday, April 25, 2003 Miscellaneous
8:45 - 9:30 Breakfast and Registration
9:30 - 10:20 Spatiotemporal dynamics of childhood diseases in the US, 1950-present
Alun L. Lloyd, Institute for Advanced Study
10:20 Jaewook Joo: Jaewook will briefly discuss some work concerning
infection dynamics on scale-free networks
Remainder of morning, discussions, including some time to discuss plans
for the (larger) follow up meeting.
1:00 Lunch
Afternoon: Discussion sessions (topics to be determined during the
meeting)
Dinner: in New Brunswick, venue to be arranged
return to hotel by taxi
------------------------------------
Saturday 26th
9:30 Morning: Discussion sessions and wrap-up
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