DIMACS Working Group on Spatio-Temporal and Network Modeling of Diseases

April 22 - 26, 2003
DIMACS Center, CoRE Building, Rutgers University

Valerie Isham, University College, London, valerie@stats.ucl.ac.uk
Alun Lloyd, Institute for Advanced Study, alun@alunlloyd.com
Bryan Grenfell, Cambridge University
Matthew Keeling, Cambridge
Denis Mollison, Heriot-Watt University
Presented under the auspices of the Special Focus on Computational and Mathematical Epidemiology.

Working Group Program:

The working group meeting has been cut down in scope and is planned to involve rather informal
presentations with lots of time for discussion. A tentative list of speakers follows, with topics to be
added as they announce them. We will devote some time to discussion of follow-up activities, including
a larger meeting to be held in approximately a year. Those interested in participating or in nominating
their students or postdocs to participate should contact Alun Lloyd at alun@alunlloyd.com. Limited financial
support may be available to help those (particularly junior researchers or students) who could not other participate.

This is a rough draft subject to change:

Tuesday, April 22, 2003 

 9:00 - 10:00   Breakfast and Registration

10:00 - 10:10  	Opening: Fred Roberts
10:10 - 10:35	Alun Lloyd: Spatial Epidemiology: Workshop Themes

10:35 - 11:10	Simon Levin: From Individuals to Populations Introduction

11:10 - 11:55   How the structure of contact networks affects disease propagation
                Mark Newman, Center for the Study of Complex Systems, University of Michigan

11:55 - 12:05 Short Break 12:05 - 1:00 Modeling Disease Outbreak and Interventions on a Realistic Social Network Stephen Eubank, Los Alamos National Lab

1:00 - 2:00 Lunch 2:00 - 2:55 Pair formation, disease-induced changes in behaviour, and frequency-dependent transmission in sexually-transmitted disease models James Lloyd-Smith, Biophysics, University of California at Berkeley

2:55 - 3:50 Correlation equations for spatial epidemics: dynamics and estimation Ben Bolker, Zoology Department, University of Florida
3:50 - 4:20 Break 4:20 - 5:15 The effects of spatial scale and spatial clumping in the infection process on the spread of macroparasites Valerie Isham, University College, London 5:15 - 6:00 Discussion 6:00PM Dinner Wednesday, April 23, 2003 Case Studies 8:45 - 9:30 Breakfast and Registration 9:30 - 10:25 Local Heterogeneity and Alternative Control Strategies for Foot-and-Mouth Disease Rowland Kao 10:25 - 11:20 The construction and analysis of epidemic trees with reference to the 2001 UK foot-and-mouth outbreak Dan Haydon, Department of Zoology, University of Guelph, Guelph, Ontario, Canada

11:20 - 11:40 Break 11:40 - 12:30 TBA David Smith 12:30 - 1:00 Discussion 1:00 - 2:00 Lunch 2:00 - 2:55 The antigenic and genetic evolution of Influenza A viruses Joshua Plotkin

2:55 - 3:20 Stochastic models of influenza evolution and epidemiology Jonathan Dushoff, Princeton University 3:20 - 4:10 Patterns of synchrony in influenza epidemics at the national and regional scale: 1968-1998. Cecile Viboud, Antoine Flahault and Mark Miller Fogarty International Center, National Institutes of Health, Bethesda, MD
4:10 - 4:25 Break 4:25 - 5:20 Modeling the process of contact between subgroups in spatial epidemics Lisa Sattenspiel, University of Missouri-Columbia

5:20 Discussion 8:00PM Dinner at hotel Thursday, April 24, 2003 Stochastic Modeling and Statistical Issues 8:45 - 9:30 Breakfast and Registration 9:30 - 10:25 Stochastic modelling and statistical inference for multitype SIR epidemics among a population of households Frank Ball, University of Nottingham
10:25 - 11:20 Modelling and Bayesian inference for structured-population epidemics Philip O'Neil, University of Nottingham, England 11:20 Break Afternoon: Excursion to NYC, bag luch provided Friday, April 25, 2003 Miscellaneous 8:45 - 9:30 Breakfast and Registration 9:30 - 10:20 Spatiotemporal dynamics of childhood diseases in the US, 1950-present Alun L. Lloyd, Institute for Advanced Study

10:20 Jaewook Joo: Jaewook will briefly discuss some work concerning infection dynamics on scale-free networks Remainder of morning, discussions, including some time to discuss plans for the (larger) follow up meeting. 1:00 Lunch Afternoon: Discussion sessions (topics to be determined during the meeting) Dinner: in New Brunswick, venue to be arranged return to hotel by taxi ------------------------------------ Saturday 26th 9:30 Morning: Discussion sessions and wrap-up

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Document last modified on April 18, 2003.