This workshop is jointly organized with African Institute for Mathematical Sciences (AIMS),
South African Centre for Epidemiological Modelling and Analysis (SACEMA) and University of the Witwatersrand, Johannesburg.
This workshop is jointly sponsored by:
Information for speakers
Monday, September 25, 2006 8:30 - 8:50 Opening Remarks: Abba Gumel Program Chair John Hargrove, SACEMA; Fritz Hahne, AIMS; Abba Gumel, University of Manitoba; Fred Roberts, DIMACS; David Sherwell, WITS; Alex Welte, WITS Session I: Current State of Infectious Diseases in Africa and Special Challenges for Mathematical Modeling (Part I) 8:50 - 9:20 Problems in African Epidemiology: How Can SACEMA Help? John Hargrove, SACEMA 9:25 - 9:55 Conjoined Epidemics: a New Problem for Southern Africa J.C.A. Davies, School of Public Health, University of the Witwatersrand 10:00 - 10:20 Break 10:20 - 10:50 Overview of the State of Infectious Diseases in South Africa Diana Dickinson, Physician and Director of Medical Services, Botswana 10:55 - 11:25 Modeling Transmission Dynamics of HIV/AIDS and Co-Infection with Other Diseases: Some Results, Issues, and Challenges Abba Gumel, University of Manitoba 11:30 - 12:00 So Much to Model, So Little Time (Current Examples of Epidemiological and Physiological Research in South Africa) Alex Welte, University of the Witwatersrand 12:00 - 1:15 Lunch and Informal Discussion Session I: Current State of Infectious Diseases in Africa and Special Challenges for Mathematical Modeling (Part II) 1:15 - 1:45 New Challenges for Modelers (and Role of Discrete Mathematics and DIMACS) Fred Roberts, DIMACS Session II: Mathematical Modeling of Diseases that Inflict a Significant Burden on Africa: HIV/AIDS (Part I): 1:50 - 2:20 Effects of Vertical Transmission on the Spread of HIV/AIDS in the Presence of Treatment Edward Lungu, University of Botswana 2:25 - 2:55 The Potential Role of HPV Infection in Vertical HIV Transmission David Hill, Stanford University 3:00 - 3:30 Maternal Herpes Simplex Virus Type 2 Infection and Risk of Intra-Partum Transmission of HIV: Results of a Nested Case Control Study Frances M Cowan, Royal Free and University College Medical School, University College London 3:30 - 3:55 Break 3:55 - 4:25 HIV-RNA Sequence Prediction: A Lattice Walk Approach to Modeling Sequences of the HIV-1 RNA Structure Asamoah Nkwanta, Morgan State University 4:25 - 6:00 Discussion Groups Evening: Social Event (optional) Tuesday, September 26, 2006 Session III: Mathematical Modeling of Diseases that Inflict a Significant Burden on Africa: HIV/AIDS (Part II): 8:30 - 9:00 The Role of Mathematical Modelling in Epidemiology with Particular Reference to HIV/AIDS Senelani Dorothy Musekwa, National University of Science and Technology Session IV: Mathematical Modeling of Diseases that Inflict a Significant Burden on Africa: Other Diseases (Part III) 9:05 - 9:35 Evaluating the Potential Burden of Zoonotic Mycobactria in Africa Can Modelling Disease in Wildlife Populations Help? Claire Geoghegan, University of Pretoria and Wayne Getz, UC Berkeley 9:40 - 10:10 Spatial Coherence and the Association of Temperature, Rainfall with the Incidence of Dengue Hemorrhagic Fever Derek Cummings and Donald Burke, Johns Hopkins Bloomberg School of Public Health and University of Pittsburgh 10:15 - 10:35 Break 10:35 - 11:05 Insights from Economic-Epidemiology Ramanan Laximinarayan, Resources for the Future 11:10 - 12:10 Discussion Groups II 12:10 - 1:30 Lunch and Informal Discussion (and set up of posters) Session V: Mathematical Modeling of Diseases that Inflict a Significant Burden on Africa: Other Diseases (Part IV) 1:30 - 2:00 Epidemics in Strongly Fluctuating Populations (with Some Discussion of Animal Diseases) Aziz Yakabu, Howard University 2:05 - 2:35 Evaluating the Predictive Power of R0 in Wildlife Populations: Dueling Timescales of Host Movement and Disease Dynamics Philip Johnson and Wayne Getz, UC Berkeley Session VI: Optimization of Scarce Public Health Resources (I) 2:40 - 3:20 Break Session VII: Modeling Issues Arising from the Threat of Emerging Diseases in Resource-Poor Countries: Pandemic Flu 3:20 - 3:50 SARS Outbreaks in Toronto, Hong Kong and Singapore: The Role of Diagnosis and Isolation as a Control Mechanism Gerardo Chowell-Puente, Los Alamos National Laboratory 3:55 - 4:25 Assessing Transmission Control Measures, Antivirals and Vaccine in Curtailing Pandemic Influenza: Scenarios for the US, UK, and South Africa Miriam Nuno, Harvard School of Public Health 4:30 - 5:45 Poster Session Evening: Banquet Wednesday, September 27, 2006 Session VIII: Vaccination Strategies 8:30 - 9:00 Estimating the Benefit of a HIV-1 Vaccine that Reduces Viral Load Set Point Swati B Gupta, Merck Research Laboratories 9:05 - 9:35 A Cost Effective Analysis of Alternative HPV Vaccination Strategies Elamin Elbasha, Merck Research 9:40 - 10:10 Models of New Vaccines for Measles Derek Cummings, Johns Hopkins Bloomberg School of Public Health 10:15 - 10:35 Break 10:35 - 11:05 A Model in Which Successive Infections With or Vaccinations Against Rotavirus Increase Immunity, Progressively Mitigating Symptoms John Glasser, CDC Session IX: Optimization of Scarce Public Health Resources (II) 11:10 - 11:40 Optimize What? Issues in Optimizing Public Health Resources through Mathematical Modeling Michael Washington, CDC 11:45 - 12:15 Preparing Social Infrastructure Against Disease-Related Workforce Depletion Nina Fefferman, DIMACS and Tufts University 12:20 - 1:30 Lunch and Informal Discussion 1:30 - 3:00 Discussion Group Presentations, with Discussion 3:00 - 3:20 Break 3:20 - 4:50 Panel on "Next Steps" Chaired by Abba Gumel Panelists: Diana Dickinson, Fritz Hahne, John Hargrove, Fred Roberts, Alex Welte, and Frances CowanPosters
Information for poster presenters