MPE 2013+ Workshop on Natural Disasters

May 13 - 15, 2015
Georgia Institute of Technology

Lora Billings, Montclair State University, billingsl at
Carlos Castillo-Chavez, Arizona State University, ccchavez at
Midge Cozzens, DIMACS, Rutgers University, midgec at
Eva Lee, Chair, Georgia Institute of Technology, eva.lee at
John Mitchell, Rensselaer Polytechnic Institute, mitchj at
Fred Roberts, DIMACS, Rutgers University, froberts at
William (Al) Wallace, Rensselaer Polytechnic Institute, wallaw at
Presented under the auspices of the DIMACS Special Program: Mathematics of Planet Earth 2013+.

Workshop Program:

Tuesday, May 12, 2015

 7:00 -  9:00pm  Reception/light dinner to be held at the hotel in the Rialto room (located on the 5th floor)

                 Welcome: Eva Lee, Georgia Institute of Technology
                 Brief Overview of MPE and MPE 2013+ and of this workshop: Fred Roberts, DIMACS, Rutgers University

Wednesday, May 13, 2015

 7:30 -  8:30   Continental Breakfast on-site

 8:30 -  8:45   Opening Remarks:
                Eva Lee, Georgia Institute of Technology
                Fred Roberts, Rutgers University and DIMACS
                Georgia Institute of Technology Dignitary to Welcome People (if wanted)

 8:45 -  9:25   Overview: Natural Disasters: Eva Lee, Georgia Institute of Technology

 9:25 - 10:05   Overview: MPE2013+ and Natural Disasters: Fred Roberts, Rutgers University

10:05 - 10:35   Break

Session I: Disease Events, Part 1
10:35 - 11:15   Mathematical Models for the Study of Single Epidemic Outbreaks with Applications to Ebola, SARS and Influenza
                Carlos Castillo-Chavez, Arizona State University

11:15 - 11:55   What does the Public Health Community Expect from Modelers during an Emergency Response?  CDC Perspective
                Martin Meltzer, CDC

11:55 -  1:05   Lunch

Session II: Resilience, Part 1

 1:05  - 1:45   Models to Assess and Improve Community Resilience 
                Earl "Rusty" Lee, University of Delaware

 1:45 -  2:45   Panel I: Emergency Preparedness and Response
                Moderator: Eva Lee, Georgia Institute of Technology

                Pat Lentz, Director of Emergency Preparedness, Madison County/London
                City, Ohio Health District

                Ryan McKay, New York City
                Donna Lee, Emergency Response Coordinator, Grundy County Health Department, Illinois
                How Much Is Enough When It Comes To Disaster Response
                Richard Retz, Mayor's Office, Houston, TX
 2:45 -  3:15   Break
 3:15 -  4:35   Contributed Papers Session I

                3:15 -  3:35  Risk Mitigating Resource Allocation for Waterway Infrastructure Systems
                              Heimir Thorisson, University of Virginia

                3:35 -  3:55  Combining Deterministic and Stochastic Models For Hazard Forecasting and Uncertainty
                              Elaine Spiller, Marquette University

                3:55 -  4:15  Resilience Optimization as an Interdependent Network Design Problem
                              Andres D. Gonzalez, Graduate Student, Dept. of Civil & Environmental Engineering, Rice University 

                4:15 -  4:35  Multicriteria Decision Analytics to Inform Emergency Management and Planning Subject to Uncertain Disaster Scenarios
                              Elizabeth B. Connelly, University of Virginia

 4:35 -  5:15   Preliminary Open Discussion: Next Steps for MPE2013+ and Natural Disasters
                Moderator: Fred Roberts, Rutgers University

Session III: Disaster Management

 5:15 -  5:55   Addressing Healthcare System Security and Resilience in High Consequence Natural Disasters
                Cham Dallas, University of Georgia, Athens

 6:30 -  8:30   Banquet on campus - Speaker Tim Lant, Office of Asst. Secretary for Emergency Response, Dept. Of Health and Human Services
                The Role of Modeling in Science Preparedness for Decision-making during Pandemics, Disasters, and Extreme Events

 Thursday, May 14, 2015

 7:30 -  8:30   Continental Breakfast on-site

 8:30 -  8:45   Opening Remarks

Session IV: Evacuation

 8:45 -  9:25   Integrating Planning and Operations: Insights from Disaster Response Modeling
                Srinivas Peeta, Purdue University

Session V: Emergency Response

 9:25 - 10:05   Using Models to Predict and Mitigate Coastal Flooding
                Rick Luettich, University of North Carolina

10:05 - 10:25   Break

10:25 - 11:05   Geographic Response Planning in the Chesapeake Bay
                David Ormes, US Coast Guard

11:05 - 11:45   Resilience Analytics: Population Behaviors Influencing Preparedness and Risk Management for a Dirty Bomb
                James Lambert, University of Virginia

11:45 -  1:05   Lunch and poster setup

 1:05 -  1:45   Contributed Paper Session II 
                1:05 - 1:25  Mitigating the Risk of an Anthrax Attack with Medical Countermeasures
                             Jeffrey W. Herrmann, University of Maryland
                1:25 - 1:45  Strategies for Ebola Containment: A Biological-Behavioral-Logistics Computation Decision Framework
                             Yifan Liu, Georgia Institute of Technology 

Session VI: Resilience, Part 2

 1:45 -  2:25   Using Reinforcement Learning to Improve Infrastructure Resilience
                John Mitchell, RPI

 2:25 -  3:25   Panel II: Public Health Preparedness
		Moderator: Lora Billings, Montclair State University
                Pam Blackwell, Director of Emergency Response, Cobb and Douglass Public Health
                John Fleming, Bureau of Public Health Preparedness Office of Surveillance and 
                Public Health Preparedness, Houston Department of Health and Human Services  

 	        Nathan Wang, Bureau of Public Health Preparedness Office of Surveillance 
                and Public Health Preparedness, Houston Department of Health and Human Services 
 3:25 -  3:55   break

 3:55 -  4:45   Panel III: Education 
                Fred Roberts, Rutgers University
                Carlos Castillo-Chavez, Arizona State University
                Lora Billings, Montclair State University

 5:00 -  6:00   Poster Session

                Tornado Risk Perception from Visual Cues
                Barry Dewitt, Carnegie Mellon University

                Computing the Optimal Path in Stochastic Dynamical Systems
                Martha Bauver, Montclair State University

                Pre-disaster Investment Decisions for Strengthening the
                Chinese Railway System to Earthquakes
                Xiaozheng He, Purdue University

                Applying Ranking and Selection Procedures to Long-Term Mitigation for 
                Improved Network Restoration
                Emily Heath, Rensselaer Polytechnic Institute

                Analysis and Control of Pre-extinction Dynamics in
                Stochastic Populations
                Garrett Nieddu, Montclair State University

                Motions Patterns for Cooperative Sensing
                Klementyna Szwaykowska, U.S. Naval Research Laboratory

                Dinner on your own

Friday, May 15, 2015

 7:30 -  8:30   Continental Breakfast on-site

 8:30 -  8:45   Opening

 8:45 -  9:25   Keynote: James James, MD, Executive Director, Society for Disaster Medicine and Public Health

 9:25 - 10:25   Contributed Papers Session III 

                9:25 -  9:45   Collaborative Tracking of Geophysical Fluid Dynamics
                               Eric Forgoston, Montclair State University

                9:45 - 10:05   Spatially Explicit Modelling of Wildfires in Europe
                               Jan M. Baetens, Ghent University, Ghent, Belgium

	        10:05 - 10:25  Information Diffusion: A Study of Twitter During Large Scale Events
                               Christa Pettie, University of Maryland-College Park

10:25 - 10:45   break

Session VII: Resilience, Part 3

10:45 - 11:25   On the Value of Information-Sharing in Interdependent Infrastructure Restoration
                Thomas C. Sharkey, Rensselaer Polytechnic Institute
11:25 - 12:00   Continued Open Discussion: Next Steps for MPE2013+ and Natural Disasters; 
                Fred Roberts, Rutgers University 

12:00           Brown bag lunch

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Document last modified on May 11, 2015.