Seminar Details
Probability and Intuition
- Start Date: July 18, 2023
- Event Start Time: 11:00 AM
- Event End Time: 12:00 PM
- Organizers: Lazaros Gallos
- Seminar Series: DATA-INSPIRE TRIPODS Seminars | REU Seminar
- Presenter(s): Peter Winkler - Dartmouth University
- Event Location: DIMACS Seminar room
- Abstract:
Almost everything we do is a gamble: crossing the street, driving, flying, shopping, dating, ordering in a restaurant, enrolling in a poetry course, taking a medication... A thousand times a day we make decisions whose outcomes are uncertain (and so do our leaders, except that they gamble with EVERYONE's lives). For practically none of these decisions is mathematics used, nor is it usually appropriate. We rely on feelings and experience, and most of the time they do pretty well for us. But it can be useful to know when intuition can lead us astray. We'll examine holes in intuition through the medium of puzzles that are designed just for that purpose. In most cases I think you will find that your intuition is pretty good after all; you just need to be alert to some situations where things have to be looked at a different way.
